According to @CNBC, buying the stock market at today’s historically high valuations has usually been a losing long-term investment based on historical performance patterns, signaling unfavorable entry points for long-horizon buyers (source: CNBC). For traders, @CNBC highlights that such elevated valuation regimes have historically underperformed purchases made at average or discounted valuations, underscoring heightened risk of long-term underperformance (source: CNBC). This matters for crypto positioning because digital assets have shown rising correlation with equities since 2020, increasing the likelihood that equity-driven risk sentiment spills over into crypto markets (source: IMF Global Financial Stability Note, January 2022).

According to Charlie Bilello, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a new all-time high today, setting a fresh record close for the index (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 6, 2026, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2008347461249568935). Bilello adds that this marks 14 consecutive calendar years with at least one all-time high for the Dow, surpassing the 12-year streak from 1989 to 2000 (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 6, 2026, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2008347461249568935). The source does not cite cryptocurrency market reactions; traders can note that no BTC or ETH move was referenced in the post (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 6, 2026, https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/2008347461249568935).

According to @CNBC, Asia-Pacific markets opened mixed after a record global stock rally, with Venezuela tensions in focus. According to @CNBC, the uneven start highlights divided risk appetite across the region at Tuesday’s open. According to @CNBC, geopolitical risks tied to Venezuela are a cited macro overhang even as global benchmarks hit record highs. According to @CNBC, the setup frames near-term risk sentiment for regional equities as traders assess whether momentum from the record rally can extend.

According to Charlie Bilello, the Dow crossed above 49,000 for the first time, marking its 21st 1,000-point milestone of the current decade, source: Charlie Bilello, X, Jan 5, 2026. For traders, major U.S. equity milestones are relevant to crypto risk sentiment, as the IMF documented rising correlations between crypto assets and U.S. equities since 2020, source: IMF Global Financial Stability Report, October 2022.

According to @StockMKTNewz, an opening snapshot covering all S&P 500 constituents was shared, letting traders see how every stock started trading today for immediate market breadth and top movers analysis, source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 5, 2026. Such at-the-open breadth views help identify early top gainers and decliners, sector leadership, and gap movers that inform intraday setups, source: Investopedia Advance-Decline Line and market breadth references. Broad-based equity strength or weakness at the open is a useful risk-appetite read-through that often aligns with short-term moves in BTC and ETH as stock–crypto correlations have risen since 2020, source: IMF Blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks Jan 2022 and BIS research on increasing crypto–equity co-movement 2022. Traders can also cross-check S&P 500 breadth against crypto-exposed equities such as Coinbase Global (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) for confirmation signals without implying causation, source: Coinbase Global investor relations overview and MicroStrategy SEC filings describing BTC treasury strategy.

According to @CNBC, U.S. stocks showed little reaction to President Trump’s extraordinary action on Venezuela on Jan 5, 2026. According to @CNBC, investors view the development as a bull case for equities despite the geopolitical headline risk.

According to @EricBalchunas, US stocks rose 18% in 2025, nearly double their historical average, while most country ETFs posted double-digit gains, showing broad global strength but not a breakdown in US exceptionalism (source: @EricBalchunas tweet, Jan 5, 2026). He reports the US still holds a 174-percentage-point performance lead over international equities built over the past decade, supported by trillion-dollar capital advantages (source: @EricBalchunas tweet, Jan 5, 2026). He adds that $12 trillion of global ETF assets remain parked in US markets—five times any other country—highlighting persistent US market depth and liquidity (source: @EricBalchunas tweet, Jan 5, 2026). For traders, this data indicates US equity and ETF flows continue to anchor global risk appetite, a key macro input when monitoring crypto market positioning and liquidity conditions (source: @EricBalchunas tweet, Jan 5, 2026).

According to Eric Balchunas, U.S. equity futures show no signs of stress with the S&P 500 (SPX) a bit higher in pre-market trading; source: Eric Balchunas, Twitter, Jan 4, 2026.

According to Charlie Bilello, the S&P 500 (SPX) was down over 15% year-to-date on April 8 last year, then rallied roughly 37% to finish the year up over 17% while recording 39 all-time highs, which he describes as one of the greatest market comebacks in history (source: Charlie Bilello). According to IMF research, stock–crypto correlations strengthened after 2020, so equity rebounds of this magnitude often coincide with improved risk appetite in BTC and ETH, making SPX trend a key macro signal for crypto traders (source: IMF).

According to @EricBalchunas, QQQ rose about 20% in 2025, contradicting narratives that the US market weakened into year-end. Source: @EricBalchunas on X, Jan 2, 2026. He adds that QQQ gained 134% over the past three years, far outpacing international equities even in their strong year. Source: @EricBalchunas on X, Jan 2, 2026. Over a 10-year horizon, he notes international returns are under one-quarter of US returns. Source: @EricBalchunas on X, Jan 2, 2026. For traders, this evidences continued US tech momentum and leadership in the NASDAQ-100, reinforcing a growth-risk backdrop to benchmark against. Source: @EricBalchunas on X, Jan 2, 2026. No crypto-specific data were provided; use this equity strength as macro context when assessing risk appetite. Source: @EricBalchunas on X, Jan 2, 2026.

According to Charlie Bilello, all 11 S&P 500 sector ETFs finished higher in 2025, marking a second straight year with no sector in the red, source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 2, 2026. Tech (XLK) led with a +25% return while Staples (XLP) lagged at +2% in 2025, source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 2, 2026. The XLK minus XLP performance spread was 23 percentage points for 2025, providing a clear snapshot of cyclical leadership that traders can quantify, source: calculation based on data from Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 2, 2026. For cross-asset context relevant to crypto, research shows BTC has exhibited higher correlation with U.S. equities since 2020, so traders may monitor whether broad equity strength aligns with crypto risk appetite, source: IMF blog “Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks,” Jan 2022.

According to @CNBC, U.S. stock futures rose on January 2, 2026, marking a positive start to the year, with live coverage for intraday developments (source: CNBC tweet posted Jan 2, 2026). A rise in stock futures indicates a positive bias at the U.S. open, so traders can monitor CNBC’s real-time updates for shifts in sector tone and interest-rate expectations during the session (source: CNBC tweet posted Jan 2, 2026). Equity risk tone is relevant for digital assets as well, as Bitcoin and U.S. equities have shown periods of higher correlation in recent years, making futures direction a key input for crypto positioning (source: International Monetary Fund, 2022 analysis on crypto-equity correlations).

According to @charliebilello, a new video titled Global Equity Returns in 2025 is available on his YouTube channel, shared via his X post dated Jan 1, 2026 (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 1, 2026; source: YouTube channel link in the post). The post itself provides only the title and channel link without performance figures or crypto references; traders should review the video directly for regional and index-level return data to inform cross-asset positioning and risk management (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 1, 2026; source: YouTube channel link in the post).

According to @StockMKTNewz, a complete visual of final 2025 performance for every S&P 500 stock is available, providing traders with stock-level data to reference for objective screening and setup design into early 2026. Source: @StockMKTNewz. The dataset can be used to identify sector leaders and laggards, assess market breadth and dispersion, and build relative-strength and pair-trade frameworks aligned with observed 2025 performance. Source: @StockMKTNewz. Equity risk tone inferred from the distribution of 2025 winners and laggards can also inform crypto exposure sizing and hedging strategies around BTC and ETH as U.S. markets transition into 2026. Source: @StockMKTNewz.

According to @WatcherGuru, approximately 325 billion dollars was wiped from the total crypto market capitalization in 2025, indicating a broad market drawdown over the year. Source: Watcher.Guru on X, Dec 31, 2025. Without asset-level or time-window details in the post, traders should treat this headline as a high-level risk signal and wait for confirmation from breadth, volume, and derivatives data before adjusting positioning. Source: Watcher.Guru on X, Dec 31, 2025.

According to Eric Balchunas, only 33% of S&P 500 stocks outperformed the index this year, indicating narrow market breadth, source: Eric Balchunas, X, Dec 31, 2025. He added that only 27% of active funds beat the benchmark, with many underperforming due to underweighting the Magnificent 7, source: Eric Balchunas, X, Dec 31, 2025. For trading, this means cap-weighted index exposure outpaced most active stock-picking in the period and provides macro context for crypto traders tracking equity breadth as a risk-sentiment gauge, though the source did not mention crypto, source: Eric Balchunas, X, Dec 31, 2025.

According to @CNBC, Michael Burry stated he is not shorting Tesla (TSLA) at present in a post published December 31, 2025. Source: CNBC social post, December 31, 2025. Public filings show Scion Asset Management previously reported Tesla put options in Q1 2021, whereas the new comment indicates no active short now; the CNBC item does not mention Bitcoin or other crypto assets. Sources: SEC Form 13F for Scion Asset Management, Q1 2021; CNBC social post, December 31, 2025. Tesla disclosed selling about 75% of its Bitcoin holdings in Q2 2022, and the CNBC update does not address Tesla’s crypto balances. Sources: Tesla Q2 2022 Update and 10-Q, July 2022; CNBC social post, December 31, 2025.

According to @CNBC, European markets are set for a lower open on December 31, 2025, the final trading day of the year. According to @CNBC, the post did not provide index futures levels, sector drivers, or specific catalysts beyond the headline. According to the London Stock Exchange, the LSE cash session begins at 08:00 GMT on trading days, and according to Euronext, its main European cash markets open at 09:00 CET. According to @CNBC, the post did not mention cryptocurrencies or digital asset markets.

According to @GreeksLive, the FOMC minutes at 19:00 UTC will offer detailed insight into members’ views on growth, inflation, and rate projections, serving as a key input for markets to gauge policy direction (source: @GreeksLive). According to @GreeksLive, after last Friday’s annual options settlement, block trades still represent a significant share due to reduced retail activity during the holiday period and the need to reestablish positions post-settlement (source: @GreeksLive). According to @GreeksLive, put blocks have stayed elevated following weak fourth-quarter performance, while implied volatility has not yet rebounded and may recover next week as participants return (source: @GreeksLive). According to @GreeksLive, overall liquidity remains subdued and sentiment is pessimistic this week, with limited opportunity, making options selling to capture theta the preferred strategy (source: @GreeksLive).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Boeing (BA) started the trading day up by more than 1%, indicating early session strength in the stock, source: @StockMKTNewz. BA is a constituent of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, making its early move directly relevant for index-linked equity exposure monitoring, source: S&P Dow Jones Indices. Equity and crypto markets have shown higher correlation since 2020, increasing the relevance of equity risk tone for BTC monitoring, source: International Monetary Fund 2022 analysis on crypto–stock market correlation.